Maple Leafs vs Avalanche final score, Oct 10: Maple Leafs 6, Avalanche 3
Before the game the model favoured Colorado Avalanche at 72%. Final score, shots and expected goals from official NHL data.
| Date | Oct 10 |
|---|---|
| Arena | Ball Arena |
| Home | Colorado Avalanche |
| Away | Toronto Maple Leafs |
Team stats
| TOR | COL | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 6 | 3 |
| Shots on goal | 23 | 33 |
| Expected goals | 2.25 | 3.81 |
| Power-play goals | 2 | 0 |
| Hits | 22 | 16 |
| Blocked shots | 22 | 10 |
| Penalty minutes | 12 | 10 |
Before the game
| TOR | COL | |
|---|---|---|
| Model win chance | 28% | 72% |
Goals
| Time | Team | Scorer | Assists | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st 03:03 | TOR | Nick Blankenburg | William Nylander, Nick Paul | TOR 1–0 COL |
| 1st 10:46 | COL | Nathan MacKinnon | Brett Kulak, Devon Toews | TOR 1–1 COL |
| 1st 15:14 | COL | Nathan MacKinnon | Cale Makar, Martin Necas | TOR 1–2 COL |
| 2nd 06:53 | TOR | William Nylander (power play) | Gavin McKenna, Auston Matthews | TOR 2–2 COL |
| 2nd 12:25 | COL | Brock Nelson | Unassisted | TOR 2–3 COL |
| 2nd 16:47 | TOR | William Nylander | Auston Matthews, Nick Paul | TOR 3–3 COL |
| 2nd 17:33 | TOR | Easton Cowan | Morgan Rielly, William Nylander | TOR 4–3 COL |
| 3rd 12:02 | TOR | Auston Matthews (power play) | William Nylander, Kirill Marchenko | TOR 5–3 COL |
| 3rd 19:21 | TOR | Auston Matthews (empty net) | Unassisted | TOR 6–3 COL |
Scoring
| Player | Team | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Nylander | TOR | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Auston Matthews | TOR | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Nathan MacKinnon | COL | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Nick Paul | TOR | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Brock Nelson | COL | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Easton Cowan | TOR | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Nick Blankenburg | TOR | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Brett Kulak | COL | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Cale Makar | COL | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Devon Toews | COL | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Gavin McKenna | TOR | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Kirill Marchenko | TOR | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Martin Necas | COL | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Morgan Rielly | TOR | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Saves | Shots | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Blackwood | COL | 17 | 22 | 56:56 |
| Sergei Bobrovsky | TOR | 30 | 33 | 59:55 |
The teams
| Team | Record | Points | Projected | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 8-6-2 | 18 | 83 | 11% |
| Colorado Avalanche | 8-5-1 | 17 | 105 | 89% |