Lightning vs Avalanche final score, Oct 23: Lightning 3, Avalanche 6
Before the game the model favoured Colorado Avalanche at 51%; the betting market had Colorado Avalanche at 53%. Final score, shots and expected goals from official NHL data.
| Date | Oct 23 |
|---|---|
| Arena | Ball Arena |
| Home | Colorado Avalanche |
| Away | Tampa Bay Lightning |
Team stats
| TBL | COL | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 6 |
| Shots on goal | 34 | 24 |
| Expected goals | 3.74 | 2.22 |
| Power-play goals | 1 | 1 |
| Hits | 30 | 16 |
| Blocked shots | 12 | 19 |
| Penalty minutes | 8 | 10 |
Before the game
| TBL | COL | |
|---|---|---|
| Model win chance | 49% | 51% |
| Betting market | 47% | 53% |
| Moneyline | +106 | −120 |
Goals
| Time | Team | Scorer | Assists | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st 01:08 | COL | Devon Toews | Martin Necas, Nathan MacKinnon | TBL 0–1 COL |
| 1st 05:52 | COL | Nazem Kadri (power play) | T.J. Hughes, Nathan MacKinnon | TBL 0–2 COL |
| 2nd 00:24 | COL | Fedor Svechkov | Jaden Schwartz | TBL 0–3 COL |
| 2nd 08:13 | TBL | Jake Guentzel (power play) | Charle-Edouard D'Astous, Brayden Point | TBL 1–3 COL |
| 2nd 13:57 | COL | Artturi Lehkonen | Nathan MacKinnon, Devon Toews | TBL 1–4 COL |
| 2nd 19:17 | TBL | Jake Guentzel | Brayden Point, Brandon Hagel | TBL 2–4 COL |
| 3rd 04:18 | COL | Nathan MacKinnon | Artturi Lehkonen, Martin Necas | TBL 2–5 COL |
| 3rd 15:13 | TBL | Charle-Edouard D'Astous | Gage Goncalves, Max Crozier | TBL 3–5 COL |
| 3rd 17:19 | COL | Martin Necas (empty net) | Gabriel Landeskog | TBL 3–6 COL |
Scoring
| Player | Team | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan MacKinnon | COL | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Martin Necas | COL | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Jake Guentzel | TBL | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Artturi Lehkonen | COL | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Charle-Edouard D'Astous | TBL | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Devon Toews | COL | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Brayden Point | TBL | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Fedor Svechkov | COL | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Nazem Kadri | COL | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Brandon Hagel | TBL | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Gabriel Landeskog | COL | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Gage Goncalves | TBL | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Jaden Schwartz | COL | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Max Crozier | TBL | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| T.J. Hughes | COL | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Saves | Shots | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Blackwood | COL | 31 | 34 | 60:00 |
| Andrei Vasilevskiy | TBL | 18 | 23 | 59:52 |
The teams
| Team | Record | Points | Projected | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Lightning | 8-3-2 | 18 | 103 | 75% |
| Colorado Avalanche | 8-5-1 | 17 | 105 | 89% |