Edmonton Oilers playoff chances and predictions 2026–27: 95% to make the playoffs
Model prediction: 95% to make the playoffs, 6.1% to win the Stanley Cup, 108 projected points (likely 91–125). 11-2-2 with 24 points in 15 games through Nov 1. Odds from simulated seasons using official NHL data.
| Record | 11-2-2 |
|---|---|
| Points | 24 in 15 games |
| Goal difference | +20 |
| Division | Pacific (Western Conference) |
Season forecast
| Projected points | 108 (likely range 91–125) |
|---|---|
| Make the playoffs | 95% |
| Win the division | 52% |
| Reach the second round | 58% |
| Reach the conference final | 31% |
| Reach the Stanley Cup Final | 15% |
| Win the Stanley Cup | 6.1% |
| Win the Presidents' Trophy | 7.7% |
Next games
| Date | Opponent | Win chance |
|---|---|---|
| Sun, Nov 1 · 6:00 PM ET | at New York Rangers | 43% |
| Tue, Nov 3 · 7:30 PM ET | at New Jersey Devils | 44% |
| Thu, Nov 5 · 8:00 PM ET | vs Anaheim Ducks | 61% |
| Sat, Nov 7 · 10:00 PM ET | vs Vancouver Canucks | 71% |
Recent results
| Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | at New York Rangers | W 4–1 |
| Oct 31 | at New York Islanders | W 4–0 |
| Oct 28 | vs Calgary Flames | W 4–0 |
| Oct 26 | vs Detroit Red Wings | L 3–4 (SO) |
| Oct 24 | vs Toronto Maple Leafs | L 2–7 |
Players
| Player | Position | Projected goals above average |
|---|---|---|
| Connor McDavid | Centre | +12.7 |
| Leon Draisaitl | Centre | +10.6 |
| Evan Bouchard | Defence | +10.0 |
| Mattias Ekholm | Defence | +3.2 |
| Zach Hyman | Left wing | +3.2 |
| Ryan Shea | Defence | +1.8 |
| Vasily Podkolzin | Right wing | +1.2 |
| Filip Hallander | Centre | +0.2 |
| Frederik Andersen | – | |
| Matt Tomkins | – | |
| Tristan Jarry | – | |
| Devon Levi | – | |
| Mattias Janmark | Centre | −0.3 |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | Centre | −0.3 |
| Jason Dickinson | Centre | −0.5 |
| Alec Regula | Defence | −0.5 |
| Max Jones | Left wing | −0.5 |
| Matt Savoie | Centre | −1.1 |
| Trent Frederic | Centre | −1.4 |
| Mathieu Joseph | Right wing | −1.5 |
| Alex Formenton | Left wing | −1.9 |
| Owen Michaels | Right wing | −2.2 |
| Isaac Howard | Left wing | −2.4 |
| Kasperi Kapanen | Right wing | −2.5 |
| Jake Walman | Defence | −2.6 |
| Ty Emberson | Defence | −2.7 |
| Colton Dach | Centre | −3.1 |
| Shakir Mukhamadullin | Defence | −4.2 |
| Connor Murphy | Defence | −4.4 |
Pacific Division
| Team | Points | Projected | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Edmonton Oilers | 24 | 108 | 95% |
| Vegas Golden Knights | 19 | 105 | 93% |
| Seattle Kraken | 17 | 83 | 23% |
| San Jose Sharks | 15 | 79 | 14% |
| Calgary Flames | 12 | 81 | 19% |
| Anaheim Ducks | 11 | 88 | 42% |
| Los Angeles Kings | 10 | 90 | 51% |
| Vancouver Canucks | 7 | 67 | 2% |