Washington Capitals playoff chances and predictions 2026–27: 41% to make the playoffs
Model prediction: 41% to make the playoffs, 0.7% to win the Stanley Cup, 92 projected points (likely 74–110). 8-5-0 with 16 points in 13 games through Nov 1. Odds from simulated seasons using official NHL data.
| Record | 8-5-0 |
|---|---|
| Points | 16 in 13 games |
| Goal difference | +2 |
| Division | Metropolitan (Eastern Conference) |
Season forecast
| Projected points | 92 (likely range 74–110) |
|---|---|
| Make the playoffs | 41% |
| Win the division | 1% |
| Reach the second round | 15% |
| Reach the conference final | 5% |
| Reach the Stanley Cup Final | 2% |
| Win the Stanley Cup | 0.7% |
| Win the Presidents' Trophy | 0.3% |
Next games
| Date | Opponent | Win chance |
|---|---|---|
| Sun, Nov 1 · 3:30 PM ET | vs Minnesota Wild | 46% |
| Tue, Nov 3 · 7:00 PM ET | vs Dallas Stars | 45% |
| Sat, Nov 7 · 12:30 PM ET | vs Florida Panthers | 50% |
Recent results
| Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | vs Minnesota Wild | L 1–5 |
| Oct 29 | at Nashville Predators | W 4–3 |
| Oct 28 | vs Philadelphia Flyers | W 5–2 |
| Oct 24 | vs Buffalo Sabres | W 4–3 (OT) |
| Oct 20 | vs Los Angeles Kings | L 2–5 |
Players
| Player | Position | Projected goals above average |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Kyrou | Right wing | +7.5 |
| Alex Tuch | Right wing | +3.7 |
| Aliaksei Protas | Left wing | +2.8 |
| Justin Sourdif | Centre | +2.8 |
| Tom Wilson | Right wing | +2.8 |
| Pierre-Luc Dubois | Centre | +2.4 |
| Ryan Leonard | Right wing | +0.9 |
| Dylan Strome | Centre | +0.9 |
| Cole Hutson | Defence | +0.8 |
| Ethen Frank | Right wing | +0.2 |
| Matt Roy | Defence | +0.2 |
| Boone Jenner | Centre | +0.2 |
| Ivan Miroshnichenko | Left wing | +0.1 |
| Jakob Chychrun | Defence | +0.1 |
| Rasmus Sandin | Defence | +0.1 |
| Charlie Lindgren | – | |
| Logan Thompson | – | |
| Dylan McIlrath | Defence | −0.5 |
| Alex Ovechkin | Left wing | −0.5 |
| Ilya Protas | Left wing | −0.6 |
| Vincent Desharnais | Defence | −1.0 |
| Jack St. Ivany | Defence | −1.0 |
| Martin Fehérváry | Defence | −1.4 |
| Anthony Beauvillier | Right wing | −2.1 |
| Timothy Liljegren | Defence | −2.2 |
Metropolitan Division
| Team | Points | Projected | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carolina Hurricanes | 26 | 122 | 99% |
| New Jersey Devils | 18 | 103 | 78% |
| Washington Capitals | 16 | 92 | 41% |
| New York Islanders | 16 | 92 | 40% |
| New York Rangers | 15 | 89 | 30% |
| Pittsburgh Penguins | 12 | 88 | 26% |
| Philadelphia Flyers | 12 | 86 | 20% |
| Columbus Blue Jackets | 10 | 87 | 23% |