PuckDelta

Capitals vs Lightning prediction, Nov 17: Lightning 61% to win

Early model forecast: Tampa Bay Lightning 61% to win, mostly on shot volume (+5 pts) and recent scoring (+4 pts). 22% chance it goes past regulation. Lineups and live score on the page.

Tampa Bay Lightning 61% to win, mostly on shot volume (+5 pts) and recent scoring (+4 pts).

WhenTue, Nov 17 · 7:30 PM ET
HomeTampa Bay Lightning
AwayWashington Capitals

Forecast

WSHTBL
Win chance39%61%
Win in regulation29%49%
Expected goals0.901.32

22% chance the game goes past regulation, 7% that it reaches a shootout.

The teams

TeamRecordPointsProjectedPlayoffs
Washington Capitals10-7-0209242%
Tampa Bay Lightning13-4-22810889%